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Central Bank Research Hub Index - F: forces-found



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fables - factor | factoria - failure | failures - feasible | features - feldstei | female - finality | finance - fire | firing - firm | firmly - firms´ | first - floor | floors - flows | fluctati - force | forces - found | foundati - franc | france - fresh | freshman - fully | fuming - funded | funding - fussing | future - fx

Employment of Women and Demand-Side

  Forces , by Donna K. Ginther and Chinhui Juhn (Atlanta Fed Working papers 2001-12)Abstract
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Marriage and Divorce: Changes and Their Driving   Forces , by Stevenson, Wolfers (San Francisco Fed Working Papers 2007-03)Full text

Monetary and Financial   Forces in the Great Depression, by Satyajit Chatterjee and Dean Corbae (Philadelphia Fed Working Papers wp06-12)Full text

Market Power, Dismissal Threat and Rent Sharing: The Role of Insider and Outsider   Forces in Wage Bargaining, by Anabela Carneiro, Pedro Portugal (Bank of Portugal Working papers 2006-10)Abstract
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Driving   Forces of the Canadian Economy: An Accounting Exercise, by Simona E. Cociuba and Alexander Ueberfeldt (Bank of Canada Working papers 2008-14)Abstract
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  Forces That Shape the Yield Curve: Parts 1 and 2, by Mark Fisher (Atlanta Fed Working papers 2001-3)Abstract
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The

  forecast ability of risk-neutral densities of foreign exchange, by Ben Craig, Joachim Keller (Deutsche Bundesbank Banking Supervision Discussion Papers 200505)Full text

Has Output Become More Predictable? Changes in Greenbook   Forecast Accuracy, by Peter Tulip (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2005-31)Abstract
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Improving   Forecast Accuracy by Combining Recursive and Rolling Forecasts, by Todd E. Clark and Michael W. McCracken (Kansas City Fed Working Papers RWP04-10)Abstract
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Improving   Forecast Accuracy by Combining Recursive and Rolling Forecasts, by Todd E. Clark, and Michael W. McCracken (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2008-028)Abstract
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Geography or skills: What explains Fed watchers'   forecast accuracy of US monetary policy?, by Helge Berger (European Central Bank Working papers 695)Full text

Exact Tests of Equal   Forecast Accuracy with an Application to the Term Structure of Interest Rates, by Richard Luger (Bank of Canada Working papers 2004-2)Abstract
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Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve   forecast accuracy?, by Kirstin Hubrich (European Central Bank Working papers No.247)Full text

An Unobserved Components Model to   Forecast Austrian GDP, by Gerhard Fenz and Martin Spitzer (Austrian National Bank Working Papers WP119)Abstract
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A bayesian method of   forecast averaging for models known only by their hictoric outputs: an application to the BCRA´S REM., by Pedro Elosegui, Francisco Lepone, George McCandless (Central Bank of Argentina Working Papers 2006/07)Full text

Detecting and predicting   forecast breakdowns, by Raffaella Giacomini and Barbara Rossi (European Central Bank Working papers 638)Full text

  Forecast combination and model averaging using predictive measures, by Jana Eklund and Sune Karlsson (Sveriges Riksbank Working Papers No191)Abstract
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  Forecast combination and the Bank of England's suite of statistical forecasting models, by George Kapetanios, Vincent Labhard and Simon Price (Bank of England Working papers 323)Abstract
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Forecasts of US Short-term Interest Rates: A Flexible   Forecast Combination Approach, by Massimo Guidolin, and Allan Timmerman (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2005-059)Full text

Bayesian   forecast combination for VAR models, by Michael K Andersson and Sune Karlsson (Sveriges Riksbank Working Papers No216)Abstract
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  Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts, by Capistrán Carlos; Timmermann Allan (Bank of Mexico Working Papers 2006-08)Full text

The Economic and Statistical Value of   Forecast Combinations under Regime Switching: An Application to Predictable US Returns, by Massimo Guidolin, and Carrie Fangzhou Na (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2006-059)Full text

How Far Can Forecasting Models Forecast?   Forecast Content Horizons for Some Important Macroeconomic Variables, by John W. Galbraith and Greg Tkacz (Bank of Canada Working papers 2007-01)Abstract
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Combining   forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities, by Anne Sofie Jore, James Mitchell and Shaun P. Vahey (Central Bank of Norway Working Papers 2008/01)Abstract
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Forecasting Inflation   Forecast Errors, by Andrea Betancor; Pablo Pincheira (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers 477)Abstract
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Multivariate   Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing, by Ivana Komunjer, and Michael T. Owyang (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2007-047)Full text

Density   forecast evaluation and the effect of risk-neutral central moments on the currency risk premium: tests based on EUR/HUF option-implied densities, by Csaba Csávás (Magyar Nemzeti Bank Working papers 2008/03)Abstract
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Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets - A pseudo real-time   forecast evaluation exercise, by K. Barhoumi, S. Benk, R. Cristadoro, A. Den Reijer, A. Jakaitiene, P. Jelonek, A. Rua, G. Rünstler, K. Ruth, C. Van Nieuwenhuyze (National Bank of Belgium Working Papers 133)Abstract
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Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time   forecast evaluation exercise, by Karim Barhoumi, Szilard Benk, Riccardo Cristadoro, Ard Den Reijer, Audrone Jakaitiene, Piotr Jelonek, António Rua, Gerhard Rünstler, Karsten Ruth and Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze (European Central Bank Occasional papers 84)Full text

Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time   forecast evaluation exercise., by Karim Barhoumi, Gerhard Rünstler, Riccardo Cristadoro, Ard Den Reijer, Audrone Jakaitiene, Piotr Jelonek, Antonio Rua, Karsten Ruth, Szilard Benk and Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 215)Abstract
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Early-warning tools to   forecast general government deficit in the euro area: the role of intra-annual fiscal indicators, by Javier J. Pérez (European Central Bank Working papers 497)Full text

Comparing the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with Time Series Models to   Forecast Inflation, by Fabio Rumler and Maria Teresa Valderrama (Austrian National Bank Working Papers WP148)Abstract
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Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets, or Surveys   Forecast Inflation Better?, by Andrew Ang, Geert Bekaert, and Min Wei (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2006-15)Abstract
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Using Subjective Expectations to   Forecast Longevity: Do Survey Respondents Know Something We Don't Know?, by Maria G. Perozek (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2005-68)Abstract
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An Econometric   Forecast Model of Private Investment in Mexico, by Pérez-López, A. (Bank of Mexico Working Papers 2004-04)Full text

Volatility Forecasts for the Mexican Peso - U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate: An Empirical Analysis of Garch, Option Implied and Composite   Forecast Models, by Benavides Guillermo (Bank of Mexico Working Papers 2006-04)Full text

Flow on conjunctural information and   forecast of euro area economic activity, by Katja Drechsel and Laurent Maurin (European Central Bank Working papers 925)Full text

Comparing   Forecast Performance of Exchange Rate Models, by Lillie Lam, Laurence Fung and Ip-wing Yu (Hong Kong Monetary Authority Working Papers WP08_08)Abstract
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Monetary policy with model uncertainty: distribution   forecast targeting, by Lars E.O. Svensson, Noah Williams (Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Papers 200535)Full text

Monetary policy with judgment:   forecast targeting, by Lars E. O. Svensson (European Central Bank Working papers 476)Full text

Monetary Policy with Judgment:   Forecast Targeting, by Lars E O Svensson (IJCB International Journal of Central Banking 05q2a1)Abstract
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Forecasting Core Inflation in Canada: Should We   Forecast the Aggregate or the Components?, by Frédérick Demers and Annie De Champlain (Bank of Canada Working papers 2005-44)Abstract
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Using Leading Indicators to   Forecast the Singapore Electronics Industry, by Ng Yi Ping, Tu Suh Ping, Edward Robinson and Choy Keen Meng (Monetary Authority of Singapore Staff Papers No. 30)Abstract
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Does global liquidity help to   forecast US inflation?, by Antonello D'Agostino and Paolo Surico (Central Bank of Ireland Research Technical Papers 07/RT/10)Abstract
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Information combination and   forecast (st)ability vidence from vintages of time-series data, by Carlo Altavilla and Matteo Ciccarelli (European Central Bank Working papers 846)Full text

Reporting biases and survey results: evidence from European professional   forecasters , by Juan Angel García and Andrés Manzanares (European Central Bank Working papers 836)Full text

An introduction to the ECB's survey of professional   forecasters , by Juan Angel Garcia (European Central Bank Occasional papers 08)Full text

Forecasting Professional   Forecasters , by Eric Ghysels and Jonathan H. Wright (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2006-10)Abstract
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Macroeconomic Volatility, Predictability and Uncertainty in the Great Moderation: Evidence from the Survey of Professional   Forecasters , by Sean D. Campbell (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2004-52)Abstract
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How Professional   Forecasters View Shocks to GDP, by Spencer Krane (Chicago Fed Working papers WP-2006-19)Abstract
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The ECB survey of professional   forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience, by Carlos Bowles, Roberta Friz, Veronique Genre, Geoff Kenny, Aidan Meyler and Tuomas Rautanen (European Central Bank Occasional papers 59)Full text

Evaluating Wall Street Journal Survey   Forecasters: A Multivariate Approach, by Robert Eisenbeis, Daniel Waggoner, and Tao Zha (Atlanta Fed Working papers 2002-8a)Abstract
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A new theory of   forecasting , by Simone Manganelli (European Central Bank Working papers 584)Full text

To aggregate or not to aggregate? Euro area inflation   forecasting , by Nicholai Benalal, Juan Luis Diaz del Hoyo, Bettina Landau (European Central Bank Working papers 374)Full text

A structural common factor approach to core inflation estimation and   forecasting , by Claudio Morana (European Central Bank Working papers 305)Full text

Performance of monetary policy with internal central bank   forecasting , by Seppo Honkapohja and Kaushik Mitra (European Central Bank Working papers No.127)Full text

Forecasting with a forward-looking DGE model - combining long-run views of financial markets with macro   forecasting , by Hanna-Leena Männistö (Bank of Finland Discussion Papers 2005/21)Abstract
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Performance of monetary policy with internal central bank   forecasting , by Seppo Honkapohja - Kaushik Mitra (Bank of Finland Discussion Papers 2002/03)Abstract
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Use of Information Variables in Inflation   Forecasting , by Jong Hwa Kim and Joong Shik Lee (The Bank of Korea Economic Papers 70)Abstract
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Uncertainty and Disagreement in Economic   Forecasting , by Stefania D'Amico and Athanasios Orphanides (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2008-56)Abstract
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Signal or Noise? Implications of the Term Premiumfor Recession   Forecasting , by Joshua V. Rosenberg and Samuel Maurer (New York Fed Economic policy review 0807rose)Abstract
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Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic   Forecasting , by Jan J. J. Groen and George Kapetanios (New York Fed Staff reports 327)Abstract
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Estimated DGE Models and   Forecasting Accuracy: A Preliminary Investigation with Canadian Data, by Moran, Kevin and Veronika Dolar (Bank of Canada Working papers 2002-18)Abstract
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The Information Content of Regional Employment Data for   Forecasting Aggregate Conditions, by Rubén Hernández-Murillo and Michael T. Owyang (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2004-005)Full text

  Forecasting and Analyzing World Commodity Prices, by Lalonde, René, Zhenhua Zhu, and Frédérick Demers (Bank of Canada Working papers 2003-24)Abstract
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  Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-Point Models with an Unknown Number of Change Points, by Gary M. Koop and Simon M. Potter (New York Fed Staff reports 196)Abstract
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The New Area-Wide Model of the euro area: a micro-founded open-economy model for   forecasting and policy analysis, by Kai Christoffel (European Central Bank Working papers 944)Full text

Real-time   forecasting and political stock market anomalies: evidence for the U.S., by Martin Bohl, Jörg Döpke, Christian Pierdzioch (Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Papers 200622)Full text

  Forecasting Austrian GDP using the generalized dynamic factor model, by Martin Schneider, Martin Spitzer (Austrian National Bank Working Papers WP089)Abstract
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  Forecasting Austrian Inflation, by Gabriel Moser, Fabio Rumler and Johann Scharler (Austrian National Bank Working Papers WP091)Abstract
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Chilean Nominal Exchange Rate:   Forecasting Base on Technical Analysis., by Ana María Abarca, Felipe Alarcón, Pablo Pincheira, Jorge Selaive (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers 425)Abstract
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  Forecasting Bonds Yields in the Brazilian Fixed Income Market, by Jose Vicente and Benjamin M. Tabak (Central Bank of Brazil Working Papers 141)Abstract
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  Forecasting Brazilian Output in the Presence of Breaks: A Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Models, by Marcelle Chauvet, Elcyon C. R. Lima, and Brisne Vasquez (Atlanta Fed Working papers 2002-28)Abstract
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  Forecasting Canadian GDP: Region-Specific versus Countrywide Information, by Frédérick Demers and David Dupuis (Bank of Canada Working papers 2005-31)Abstract
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  Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model, by Ali Dib, Mohamed Gammoudi, and Kevin Moran (Bank of Canada Working papers 2006-04)Abstract
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  Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model, by Ali Dib, Mohamed Gammoudi, Kevin Moran (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers 382)Abstract
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  Forecasting Chilean Industrial Production and Sales with Automated Procedures, by Rómulo Chumacero (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers 260)Abstract
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Using Factor Analysis for   Forecasting Chilean Macro Variables, by Alvaro Aguirre, Luis Felipe Céspedes (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers 274)Abstract
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  Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion, by Jean-Thomas Bernard, Lynda Khalaf, Maral Kichian, and Sebastien McMahon (Bank of Canada Working papers 2006-14)Abstract
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  Forecasting Core Inflation in Canada: Should We Forecast the Aggregate or the Components?, by Frédérick Demers and Annie De Champlain (Bank of Canada Working papers 2005-44)Abstract
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  Forecasting Credit Portfolio Risk, by Alfred Hamerle, Thilo Liebig, Harald Scheule (Deutsche Bundesbank Banking Supervision Discussion Papers 200401)Full text

  Forecasting Dutch GDP using Large Scale Factor Models, by (DNB) (Netherlands Bank DNB Working Papers 028)Full text

  Forecasting ECB monetary policy: accuracy is (still) a matter of geography, by Helge Berger (European Central Bank Working papers 578)Full text

  Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates, by David F. Hendry and Kirstin Hubrich (European Central Bank Working papers 589)Full text

  Forecasting Economic and Financial Variableswith Global VARs, by M. Hashem Pesaran, Til Schuermann, and L. Vanessa Smith (New York Fed Staff reports 317)Abstract
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Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook from Historical   Forecasting Errors, by David Reifschneider and Peter Tulip (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2007-60)Abstract

  Forecasting Euro Area Aggregates with Bayesian VAR and VECM Models, by Ricardo Mourinho Félix, Luís Catela Nunes (Bank of Portugal Working papers 2003-04)Abstract
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Explaining and   forecasting euro area exports: which competitiveness indicator performs best?, by Michele Ca' Zorzi and Bernd Schnatz (European Central Bank Working papers 833)Full text

  Forecasting euro area inflation using dynamic factor measures of underlying inflation, by Gonzalo Camba-Mendez and George Kapetanios (European Central Bank Working papers 402)Full text

  Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?, by Kirstin Hubrich (European Central Bank Working papers No.247)Full text

The role of country-specific trade and survey data in   forecasting euro area manufacturing production: perspective from large panel factor models, by Matthieu Darracq Paričs and Laurent Maurin (European Central Bank Working papers 894)Full text

  Forecasting Exchange Rate Density using Parametric Models: The Case of Brazil, by Marcos M. Abe, Eui J. Chang and Benjamin M. Tabak (Central Bank of Brazil Working Papers 138)Abstract
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Oil and the U.S. Macroeconomy: An Update and a Simple   Forecasting Exercise, by Kevin L. Kliesen (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2008-009)Full text

  Forecasting Exogenous Fiscal Variables in the United States, by Darrel Cohen and Glenn Follette (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2003-59)Abstract
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Less cash on the counter -   Forecasting Finnish payment preferences, by Hanna Jyrkönen (Bank of Finland Discussion Papers 2004/27)Abstract
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A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in   forecasting GDP, by Marta Banbura and Gerhard Rünstler (European Central Bank Working papers 751)Full text

Taking the temperature -   forecasting GDP growth for mainland China, by Declan Curran, Michael Funke (Bank of Finland BOFIT Discussion Papers 2006/06)Abstract
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  Forecasting German GDP using alternative factor models based on large datasets, by Christian Schumacher (Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Papers 200524)Full text

How Useful is Core Inflation for   Forecasting Headline Inflation?, by Colin Bermingham (Central Bank of Ireland Research Technical Papers 06/RT/11)Abstract
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How Useful are the E/P Ratio and the Spreads between the E/P Ratio and Interest Rates in   Forecasting Hong Kong Stock Market Conditions?, by Hongyi Chen (Hong Kong Monetary Authority Working Papers RM2005-11)Full text

A VAR Framework for   Forecasting Hong Kong's Output and Inflation, by Hans Genberg and Jian Chang (Hong Kong Monetary Authority Working Papers RM2007-05)Full text

Identifying and   Forecasting House Price Dynamics in Ireland, by Antonello D'agostino, Kieran McQuinn and Gerard O' Reilly (Central Bank of Ireland Research Technical Papers 08/RT/03)Abstract
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Modelling and   Forecasting Housing Investment: The Case of Canada, by Frédérick Demers (Bank of Canada Working papers 2005-41)Abstract
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Phillips curve   forecasting in a small open economy, by Troy Matheson (Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Papers DP2006/01)Abstract
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Estimating time-variation in measurement error from data revisions; an application to   forecasting in dynamic models, by George Kapetanios and Tony Yates (Bank of England Working papers 238)Abstract
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Empirical Bayesian density   forecasting in Iowa and shrinkage for the Monte Carlo era, by Kurt F. Lewis, Charles H. Whiteman (Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Papers 200628)Full text

  Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels Using Bayesian Model Averaging, by Gary Koop and Simon Potter (New York Fed Staff reports 163)Abstract
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The usefulness of infra-annual government cash budgetary data for fiscal   forecasting in the euro area, by Luca Onorante, Diego J. Pedregal (European Central Bank Working papers 901)Full text

  Forecasting Inflation and Output: Comparing Data-Rich Models with Simple Rules, by William T. Gavin, and Kevin L. Kliesen (St Louis Fed Working Papers 2006-054)Full text

  Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?, by Fabrizio Venditti (European Central Bank Working papers 900)Full text

  Forecasting Inflation Forecast Errors, by Andrea Betancor; Pablo Pincheira (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers 477)Abstract
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  Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: Individual models or Forecasting Pooling?, by Laura D'Amato, Lorena Garegnani, Emilio Blanco (Central Bank of Argentina Working Papers 2008/35)Full text

Evaluating Factor Models: An Application to   Forecasting Inflation in Canada, by Gosselin, Marc-André and Greg Tkacz (Bank of Canada Working papers 2001-18)Abstract
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  Forecasting Inflation in China, by Aaron Mehrotra and José R. Sánchez-Fung (Bank of Finland BOFIT Discussion Papers 2008/02)Abstract

Explaining and   Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: The Case of Mexico, by Bailliu, Jeannine, Daniel Garcés, Mark Kruger, and Miguel Messmacher (Bank of Canada Working papers 2003-17)Abstract
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  Forecasting Inflation in the Euro Area, by Catherine Bruneau, Olivier De Bandt and Alexis Flageollet (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 102)Abstract
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The central bank as a risk manager: quantifying and   forecasting inflation risks, by Lutz Kilian and Simone Manganelli (European Central Bank Working papers No.226)Full text

  Forecasting Inflation Through a Bottom-Up Approach: The Portuguese Case, by Cláudia Duarte, António Rua (Bank of Portugal Working papers 2005-02)Abstract
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  Forecasting Inflation using Economic Indicators: the Case of France, by Catherine Bruneau, Olivier De Bandt, Alexis Flageollet and Emmanuel Michaux (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 101)Abstract
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  Forecasting inflation using labour market indicators, by Vincenzo Cassino and Michael Joyce (Bank of England Working papers 195)Abstract
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  Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap, by Hilde C. Bjřrnland, Leif Brubakk and Anne Sofie Jore (Central Bank of Norway Working Papers 2006/02)Full text

  Forecasting inflation with thick models and neural networks, by Paul McNelis and Peter McAdam (European Central Bank Working papers 352)Full text

  Forecasting Interest Rates: an application for Brazil, by Eduardo J. A. Lima, Felipe Luduvice and Benjamin M. Tabak (Central Bank of Brazil Working Papers 120)Abstract
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  Forecasting investment: A fishing contest using survey data, by José Ramos Maria, Sara Serra (Bank of Portugal Working papers 2008-18)Abstract
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Structural Change and   Forecasting Long-Run Energy Prices, by Jean-Thomas Bernard, Lynda Khalaf, and Maral Kichian (Bank of Canada Working papers 2004-5)Abstract
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  Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union, by Anindya Banerjee (European Central Bank Working papers 482)Full text

Accuracy in   forecasting macroeconomic variables in Iceland, by Ásgeir Daníelsson (Central Bank of Iceland Working Papers 39)Abstract

  Forecasting market crashes: further international evidence, by Terhi Jokipii (Bank of Finland Discussion Papers 2006/22)Abstract
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  Forecasting Market Impact Costs and Identifying Expensive Trades, by Jacob Bikker, Laura Spierdijk, Roy Hoevenaars and Pieter Jelle van der Sluis (Netherlands Bank DNB Working Papers 095)Full text

Disaggregated Cost Pass-Through Based Econometric Inflation-   Forecasting Model for Hungary, by Viktor Várpalotai (Magyar Nemzeti Bank Working papers 2003/04)Abstract
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A   Forecasting Model for Inventory Investments in Canada, by Marwan Chacra and Maral Kichian (Bank of Canada Working papers 2004-39)Abstract
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A BVAR   Forecasting Model For Peruvian Inflation, by Gonzalo Llosa, Vicente Tuesta and Marco Vega (Central Reserve Bank of Peru Working Papers 2005-007)Abstract
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An Inflation   Forecasting Model For The Euro Area., by Valérie Chauvin and Antoine Devulder (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 192)Abstract
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On the selection of   forecasting models, by Atsushi Inoue and Lutz Kilian (European Central Bank Working papers No.214)Full text

Forecast combination and the Bank of England's suite of statistical   forecasting models, by George Kapetanios, Vincent Labhard and Simon Price (Bank of England Working papers 323)Abstract
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Model Confidence Sets for   Forecasting Models, by Peter Reinhard Hansen, Asger Lunde, and James M. Nason (Atlanta Fed Working papers 2005-07)Abstract
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How Far Can   Forecasting Models Forecast? Forecast Content Horizons for Some Important Macroeconomic Variables, by John W. Galbraith and Greg Tkacz (Bank of Canada Working papers 2007-01)Abstract
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Modern   Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks, by Malin Adolfson , Michael K. Andersson , Jesper Lindé , Mattias Villani and Anders Vredin (Sveriges Riksbank Working Papers No188)Abstract
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Modern   Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks, by by Malin Adolfson, Michael K. Andersson, Jesper Lindé, Mattias Villani and Anders Vredin (IJCB International Journal of Central Banking 07q4a4)Abstract
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Monthly   forecasting of French GDP: A revised version of the OPTIM model., by Karim Barhoumi, Véronique Brunhes-Lesage, Olivier Darné, Laurent Ferrara, Bertrand Pluyaud and Béatrice Rouvreau (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 222)Abstract
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Real-time   forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data, by Christian Schumacher, Jörg Breitung (Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Papers 200633)Full text

Short-term   forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets - A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise, by K. Barhoumi, S. Benk, R. Cristadoro, A. Den Reijer, A. Jakaitiene, P. Jelonek, A. Rua, G. Rünstler, K. Ruth, C. Van Nieuwenhuyze (National Bank of Belgium Working Papers 133)Abstract
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Short-term   forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise, by Karim Barhoumi, Szilard Benk, Riccardo Cristadoro, Ard Den Reijer, Audrone Jakaitiene, Piotr Jelonek, António Rua, Gerhard Rünstler, Karsten Ruth and Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze (European Central Bank Occasional papers 84)Full text

Short-term   forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise., by Karim Barhoumi, Gerhard Rünstler, Riccardo Cristadoro, Ard Den Reijer, Audrone Jakaitiene, Piotr Jelonek, Antonio Rua, Karsten Ruth, Szilard Benk and Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 215)Abstract
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DSGE Model-Based   Forecasting of Non-Modelled Variables, by Frank Schorfheide (Philadelphia Fed Working Papers 08-17)Full text

How good are dynamic factor models at   forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach, by Sandra Eickmeier, Christina Ziegler (Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Papers 200642)Full text

Testing the   forecasting performace of IBEX 35 option implied risk neutral densities, by Francisco Alonso, Roberto Blanco and Gonzalo Rubio (Bank of Spain Working Papers 0504)Abstract
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The Riksbank's   Forecasting Performance, by Michael K. Andersson, Gustav Karlsson and Josef Svensson (Sveriges Riksbank Working Papers No218)Abstract
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  Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model, by Malin Adolfson , Jesper Lindé and Mattias Villani (Sveriges Riksbank Working Papers No190)Abstract
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The   Forecasting Performance of German Stock Option Densities, by Ben Craig, Ernst Glatzer, Joachim Keller and Martin Scheicher (Cleveland Fed Working papers WP03-12)Full text

On the Fit and   Forecasting Performance of New Keynesian Models, by Marco Del Negro, Frank Schorfheide, Frank Smets, and Raf Wouters (Atlanta Fed Working papers 2004-37)Abstract
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On the fit and   forecasting performance of New-Keynesian models, by Marco Del Negro, Frank Schorfheide (European Central Bank Working papers 491)Full text

The Real-time   Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves, by Tim Robinson, Andrew Stone, Marileze van Zyl (Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Papers RDP2003-12)Abstract
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Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: Individual models or   Forecasting Pooling?, by Laura D'Amato, Lorena Garegnani, Emilio Blanco (Central Bank of Argentina Working Papers 2008/35)Full text

  Forecasting Professional Forecasters, by Eric Ghysels and Jonathan H. Wright (Federal Reserve Board FEDS series 2006-10)Abstract
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  Forecasting real GDP: what role for narrow money?, by C. Brand (European Central Bank Working papers No.254)Full text

  Forecasting Recessions: The Puzzle of the Enduring Power of the Yield Curve, by Rudebusch, Williams (San Francisco Fed Working Papers 2007-16)Full text

Model for Analysing and   forecasting short term developments, by Mustapha Baghli, Véronique Brunhes-Lesage, Olivier De bandt, Henri Fraisse et Jean-Pierre Villetel (Bank of France Working Papers Nr 106)Abstract
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  Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time, by Jörg Döpke, Daniel Hartmann, Christian Pierdzioch (Deutsche Bundesbank Banking Supervision Discussion Papers 200601)Full text

  Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the Presence of Model Uncertainty, by Anthony Garratt, Gary Koop and Shaun P. Vahey (Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Papers DP2006/02)Abstract
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A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for   Forecasting the Australian Economy, by Andrew Hodge, Tim Robinson and Robyn Stuart (Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Papers RDP2008-04)